Bookmakers v. the experts: who is right?
![](https://bigthink.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/origin-160.jpg?w=480&h=270&crop=1)
Sign up for the Smarter Faster newsletter
A weekly newsletter featuring the biggest ideas from the smartest people
After Mubarak who is the next Middle Eastern leader to go?
Some people have been pointing to President Salih and Yemen, but experts on the country have been pouring cold water on that line of thinking. According to Victoria Clark’s op-ed in the NY Times, “Yemen won’t fall.”
Not everyone, it seems, is enamored of expert advice. The Irish bookmaker, Paddy Power, rates Yemen as the most likely to topple its leader, putting the odds at 15/8.
Paddy Power odds – next country to topple leader:
15/8 Yemen
9/4 Jordan
7/2 Algeria
7/2 Morocco
8/1 Bahrain
12/1 Iran
16/1 Libya
16/1 Sudan
16/1 Iraq
20/1 Saudi Arabia
20/1 Syria
Sign up for the Smarter Faster newsletter
A weekly newsletter featuring the biggest ideas from the smartest people