Uncertainty Analysis

Uncertainty Analysis

A person in dress shoes steps onto a blue ladder with a missing rung, casting a shadow on a pale background—a subtle nod to the challenges of navigating a nonlinear career.
As traditional career paths break down, a more uncertain — and potentially more fulfilling — model is taking shape.
parallel universe
Parallel universes are among the most profound notions in all of quantum physics. It's a compelling and fascinating idea, but is it true?
A collage with graphs, a flower, a container ship, and a hand giving a thumbs-up—hinting at lucky investors—overlaid with the title “THE NIGHTCRAWLER” in bold letters at the top.
Welcome to The Nightcrawler — a weekly newsletter from Eric Markowitz covering tech, innovation, and long-term thinking.
jwst
Asteroid 2024 YR4, which could devastate a city's worth of humans, has gone from 1.2% to 2.3% to 2.6% to 3.1% chances of impact. Here's why.
Image of Earth set against a black background with the text "A Volatile World" in large white letters.
11mins
“We've engineered a volatile world where Starbucks is completely unchanging from year to year, but democracies are collapsing and rivers are drying up.”
Under the night sky, where the Milky Way galaxy glows above a silhouette of trees and a mountain, stars scatter across the deep blue and purple expanse. It's an ideal backdrop for alien hunting, sparking curiosity about potential biosignatures hidden among those distant celestial wonders.
Recent controversies bode ill for the effort to detect life on other planets by analyzing the gases in their atmospheres.
A pink, geometrically shaped object on a light pink background, with colorful sparkles emerging from the top, reminiscent of visual styles often generated by AI models.
More accurate uncertainty estimates could help users decide about how and when to use machine-learning models in the real world.
A deep space image showing numerous galaxies of different shapes and sizes scattered across a dark background, with many stars and cosmic objects, including the ancient Methuselah star, also visible throughout.
The Universe is precisely dated at 13.8 billion years old, but astronomers claim the Methuselah star is 14.5 billion years old. What gives?
heavy neutral atom
No matter how good our measurement devices get, certain quantum properties always possess an inherent uncertainty. Can we figure out why?
The six disciplines of strategic thinking.
Why has the value of strategic thinking never been higher? It’s complex.
A hand holds and fans out a deck of playing cards with patterned backs against a black background.
6mins
We’re often ashamed to say, “I don’t know” — but this professional poker player thinks it’s one of our greatest strengths.
A close up of a woman's eyes in a painting depicting societal distress.
Our state of extreme social interconnectedness has rapidly accelerated the rollercoaster pace at which societal confidence may collapse.
quantum tunneling instantaneous
Some processes, like quantum tunneling, have been shown to occur instantaneously. But the ultimate cosmic speed limit remains unavoidable.
methuselah star
One study suggested that the "Methuselah Star" is older than the Universe itself.
heavy neutral atom
No matter how good our measurement devices get, certain quantum properties always possess an inherent uncertainty. Can we figure out why?
uncertainty
We pretend to be in control, but we have frighteningly little knowledge upon which to base our life’s decisions.
All protons have the same exact mass as every other proton. For particles like the Higgs boson, this isn’t true. One of the most puzzling aspects of quantum physics is how […]
In the quantum world of the unstable, even identical particles don’t have identical masses. In the microscopic world of the quantum particle, there are certain rules that are wholly unfamiliar […]
Did they perform their analysis sub-optimally? Maybe. But gravitational waves were seen no matter what. “We hope that interested people will repeat our calculations and will make up their own minds […]