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Who's in the Video
Philip Tetlock is a political science writer and author of several books on psychology, political science and organizational behavior. His latest is titled Superforecasting.  Tetlock has served on the faculty of[…]
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“Famous pundits virtually never make falsifiable forecasts.” To abide by that simple axiom is to ensure oneself a terrific mode of self-preservation, whether you’re Nate Silver or Jim Cramer or any of the other famous personalities making a living off of the science of prediction.

The science of prediction is of particular interest to University of Pennsylvania professor Philip Tetlock, a political scientist who has written a new book on the subject: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction


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In this video, Tetlock runs through the thought processes of professional media prediction-makers whose livelihoods depend not on being right, but on being right enough.


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