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We live in a time of information abundance, which far too many of us see as information overload. With the sum total of human knowledge, past and present, at our fingertips, we’re faced with a crisis of attention: which ideas should we engage with, and why? Big Think is an evolving roadmap to the best thinking on the planet — the ideas that can help you think flexibly and act decisively in a multivariate world.

A word about Big Ideas and Themes — The architecture of Big Think

Big ideas are lenses for envisioning the future. Every article and video on bigthink.com and on our learning platforms is based on an emerging “big idea” that is significant, widely relevant, and actionable. We’re sifting the noise for the questions and insights that have the power to change all of our lives, for decades to come. For example, reverse-engineering is a big idea in that the concept is increasingly useful across multiple disciplines, from education to nanotechnology.

Themes are the seven broad umbrellas under which we organize the hundreds of big ideas that populate Big Think. They include New World Order, Earth and Beyond, 21st Century Living, Going Mental, Extreme Biology, Power and Influence, and Inventing the Future.

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Election Notes: What Mitt's Victory Means

February 2, 2012, 12:05 PM

Mitt Romney looks more and more like the Republican nominee after soundly defeating the Republican field in the Florida Primary. Romney managed to get more votes than Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum combined, and has moved back into the lead in national polling. The futures traders at Intrade now give Romney a nearly 89% chance of winning the nomination. They have been bullish on Romney’s chances throughout the primaries, but that’s still up four points since last week.

Nevertheless it’s still too early to say Romney has the nomination wrapped up. After all, an 89% chance he will win is still an 11% chance that he won’t. As Kris Broughton says, Romney’s lead in the delegate count is small and most of the country has yet to vote. The attacks on Romney have taken a toll, and his net favorable rating is falling sharply. Since many of the Super Tuesday states should be favorable ground for Gingrich and Santorum, we can expect the race to continue into March at least.

Political Futures Markets

Chance President Obama will win reelection: 55.3% (Intrade)

Chance Mitt Romney will win the Republican nomination: 88.7% (Intrade)

Chance that Republicans will win control of the Senate: 74.5% (Intrade)

Chance that Republicans will maintain control of the House: 69.1% (Intrade)


President Obama’s approval rating: 46.1% (Pollster)

Mitt Romney’s favorable rating: 32.8% (Pollster)

Democratic advantage on a generic congressional ballot: 2.5% (Real Clear Politics)


I stand by my early assessment: when I look at the economy, I think Obama can’t win, but when I look at the Republicans, I think he can’t lose. The economy is starting to get better; the Republicans aren’t.”—Paul Begala

UP NEXT: the Nevada Caucus on Saturday, February 4

Photo credit: Gage Skidmore


Election Notes: What Mitt's...

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