Mississippi Will Permit Gay Marriage In 2024

Using a simple data matrix, uberpollster Nate Silver has predicted in what order gay marriage will be permitted on a state-by-state basis.

Nate Silver at Five Thirty Eight Politics analyzed each state's record of gay marriage bans, religiosity according to a 2008 Gallup survey, and number of evangelical residents to determine how long it would be before gay marriage was legalized. The results were not as predictable as you might think.


Noting the steady decline in religious conviction alone, Proposition 8 could mark one of the last wholesale gay marriage bans to ever be amended to a state's constitution. Of course, legalization is wholly dependent on the sociopolitical climate. If evangelicals see a renaissance, gay marriage proponents could see their prospects dwindle.

The rankings of the states by year they will likely reject marriage bans:

2009 (now)
Vermont
New Hampshire
Massachusetts
Maine
Rhode Island
Connecticut
Nevada
Washington
Alaska
New York
Oregon*

2010
California
Hawaii
Montana
New Jersey
Colorado

2011
Wyoming
Delaware
Idaho
Arizona

2012
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Maryland
Illinois

2013
Michigan
Minnesota
Iowa
Ohio
Utah
Florida

2014
New Mexico
North Dakota
Nebraska
South Dakota

2015
Indiana
Virginia
West Virginia
Kansas

2016
Missouri

2018
Texas

2019
North Carolina
Louisiana
Georgia

2020
Kentucky

2021
South Carolina
Oklahoma

2022
Tennessee
Arkansas

2023
Alabama

2024
Mississippi

LinkedIn meets Tinder in this mindful networking app

Swipe right to make the connections that could change your career.

Getty Images
Sponsored
Swipe right. Match. Meet over coffee or set up a call.

No, we aren't talking about Tinder. Introducing Shapr, a free app that helps people with synergistic professional goals and skill sets easily meet and collaborate.

Keep reading Show less

Should you invest in China's stock market? Know this one thing first.

Despite incredible economic growth, it is not necessarily an investor's paradise.

Videos
  • China's stock market is just 27 years old. It's economy has grown 30x over that time.
  • Imagine if you had invested early and gotten in on the ground floor.
  • Actually, you would have lost money. Here's how that's possible.
Keep reading Show less

Scientists claim the Bible is written in code that predicts future events

The controversy around the Torah codes gets a new life.

Michael Drosnin
Surprising Science
  • Mathematicians claim to see a predictive pattern in the ancient Torah texts.
  • The code is revealed by a method found with special computer software.
  • Some events described by reading the code took place after the code was written.
Keep reading Show less
Videos
  • Facebook and Google began as companies with supposedly noble purposes.
  • Creating a more connected world and indexing the world's information: what could be better than that?
  • But pressure to return value to shareholders came at the expense of their own users.
Keep reading Show less