Anyway, I'm breaking my self-enforced silence, which incidentally has allowed me to get loads of other, more important work done only because over the past couple of days a couple of things have crossed my desk (loosely used in this context) that have forced me to sit up and take notice.
First, was an audiotape that AQAP released a couple of days ago entitled "Between the Islamists and the Liberals," and given by Ibrahim al-Rubaysh, the former Guantanamo Bay detainee, who has delivered a number of audio tapes. The only problem is that AQAP had already announced, in a recent video, that Ibrahim al-Rubaysh was dead, and further complicating this matter is that both the written and the oral introductions use the phrase "hafazu allah," which is only used for the living. Hmm.
The second issue that has given me pause is today's statement from AQAP, #24, which claims that it has the assistant director of security in Sa'dah, Ali Muhammad Salih al-Husam, and it is holding him in exchange for two individuals: Husayn al-Tays and Mashur al-Ahdal. The statement claims that both men were captured by the Huthis and then turned over to the government. The statement gives the Yemeni government 48 hours from the posting this morning in the Middle East to release the two.
Complicated and strange, but making the situation even more murky is the tone that AQAP speaks about the institute in Dammaj, claiming that al-Hasum has run spying operations against "Muslims" for 20 years. Most long-time observers of Yemen will remember the very public disputes between Muqbil al-Wadi'i (the founder and head of Dar al-Hadith in Dammaj, until his death in 2001) and Osama bin Laden. I have long suggested that the type of Islamism practiced and taught in Dammaj is much different from the type al-Qaeda espouse, often suggesting that people think of an "Islamist spectrum" in Yemen.
But there are now signs that the Islamists in Dammaj are bleeding into al-Qaeda. Today's statement is only the most recent of these signs. There is also the book, "Why I Chose al-Qaeda," which was recently released by a member of the al-Awaliq tribe. (I still haven't finished the 70-plus pages - remember the other, more important work - but one of the things that has struck me so far is the author's bio, which discusses his time as a student at Dammaj.) Things have certainly changed since the death of al-Wadi'i and none of this is good for security in Yemen.
Ok, much longer than the four sentence blog-posting I had envisioned. Now it is back to sweet, sweet silence.