What's so unusual about this recession is that, everyone has always approached the economic cycle with a base case, a positive case and a downside case, but this is a set of markets where the downside case just gets totally thrown out the door a week after you've postulated. The speed of change is tremendous.
I'm Tom Glocer, Chief Executive of Thomson Reuters.
We're fortunate in that we're a very cash generative company. We generate about two billion dollars of free cash flow every year. We do that because our business model is quite simple and straightforward. We sell primarily recurring subscriptions to professionals of content and services that are electronically delivered. They're often billed in advance, and we convert around 100% operating profit into cash flow. So it begins with a strong business model. And then we're careful. We watch capex [capital expenditure] carefully.
One of the great things about being technology-enabled is that we are able to ride what is not just often the Moore's law curve, but actually the exponential Malthusian curve of the efficiency of technology, and what it can do for you in scaled businesses, like say transaction systems in the financial markets, or databasing systems in the legal or tax or accounting area.
Question: What mistakes do companies make in recessions?
I don't need to look just to other companies for mistakes. I've made plenty of my own. I have a rich history of mistakes to draw upon.
I think some of the mistakes some people make, and certainly in a difficult recession like this, is that when there is a need to cut back, they do it across the board. It's often much easier as a manager to say to your eight reports, I'm taking 20% out of each of your budgets--because you don't have to do the hard work, and you don't have to disappoint people, and there's the appearance, at least, of fairness in the sense that we are all in it together, we are all scrounging around to come up with savings.
I think that is a disaster of abdication of the responsibility of management. Because actually what you need to do is back your best horses. And sometimes the right answer is actually to give one unit 10% more, and cut or dispose of other units. And it does become difficult in these periods.
I saw some interesting analysis that I think McKinsey had done, looking at the last couple of recessions, and what it found was that the companies that were able to continue investing, both organically and by acquisition through the last two recessions, came out with essentially an extraordinary gain on the upside. That makes some sense.
What we're doing at Thomson Reuters is focusing on the two or three things that we think are real game-changers, and increasing the investments there, and cutting all of the nice-to-haves. Because although we seldom admit there are nice-to-haves in the business, the truth is that after a period of good growth, lots of discretionary projects do grow up in large companies, and it's not a bad thing, every now and then, to zero-base and go back and ask the question, "What value is really being added ultimately for our customers?"
Discuss
Quentin Cassidy on June 10, 2009, 12:03 AM
I wonder if Thomson Reuters sees any strategic interest in acquiring a newspaper organization. NYT’s Thomas Friedman recently mentioned that a guy like Michael Bloomberg, and his expertise building a news empire using technology would be an ideal person to buy New York Time Company. So for those keeping score at home, that would overturning term limits, out spending opponents tenfold and owning his city’s largest newspaper.
Cordt Akers on June 19, 2009, 6:48 PM
Glocer’s best piece of wisdom was the last one: Do not make equal across the board cuts when reducing budgets. I agree. When money is tight, the extras have to go. I do this in my household. Painting the bedroom can wait, the broken water heater can’t. But you probably have to be more careful in business. For example, I would probably cut the advertising budget a bit and keep up the level of customer service- if my business is already well established. If my company is well-known, like Reuters, I don’t need as many ad campaigns- everyone in the field knows Reuters. Keep your current customers happy- they’ll stay. Of course if your a new, unkown group you would try the opposite strategy for obvious reasons.
I hear alot of people complaining about the customer service from banks- the banks need to look into this-quickly. The competition is fierce in that industry. Bank A gives me a hard time? I take my money across the street to Bank B- very easily done.
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