Question: Does increased longevity necessitate population control?
Robert Butler: Well, population control isn't actually occurring I mean in Europe and Japan as populations have lived longer, they have dramatically reduced the birth rate. So, in fact, there is a shrinkage in both Europe and in Japan. Not in the United States because of immigration, but I think it sort of balances itself out. As people live longer, they tend to have fewer babies and as a result they are able to put more resources into the education and the health of the children. So, it has been a very positive thing.
Robert Butler: Well, if you think back to 1900 when the average life expectancy was 47 and you are asking me this question, you could have been thinking we are going to have all those 50 year olds and now we have all those 50 year olds. So, what I think we will see is a healthier, more vigorous population and people in their 70s and 80s than we have had before as a result of medical science and hopefully, people taking better care of themselves.
Recorded on: Mar 17 2008
Discuss
Andrew Clunn on May 13, 2008, 7:34 PM
You point out that the population of the United States is increasing due to immigration. You also say that nations need to achieve some aspect of modern society in order to stabilize population. However, if large groups of people immigrate from a less industrialized nation with values encouraging large families to more modern nations, this would upset that balance. You even mention that the United States%u2019 population is not declining due to immigration. Add in that these new families now consume the resources associated with citizens of modern nations (substantially higher) and you’ve added much more to the problem. Saying it will sort itself out ignores the pervasive problem of immigrants having large families both in the form of Turkish and other middle-eastern immigrants in Europe and Mexican immigrants in the United States. This problem may “work itself out” but it will be in the form of densely populated slums forming in the coastal regions, resulting in much more massive losses of life from natural disasters, as well as increased starvation in poorer countries as the demand and price of food continuously climbs.
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