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Part of series, Healthcare Revolution

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Charles King on July 25, 2009, 6:38 PM

The topic caught my eye because I was seconds ago making the following points on Twitter: (1) Life expectancy by race is actually actuarial laziness. Adjusting averages by education income and lifestyle is a more accurate predictor. (2) Education, income and lifestyle more accurately predict life expectancy than race because the latter only roughly correlates to the former. (3) Pop. Bermuda = 61% black: 39% white. L.E =78.13 yrs. USA = 80% white 12.8% black L.E = 78.06, Bermuda’s ratios prove race is not a significant factor.

The point I was making is that, for example, epidemiology suggests that there are genetic factors driving down life expectancy for blacks in the US because of a genetic susceptibility to diseases like coronary disease and diabetes. Yet life expectancy in Bermuda with a 61% black population is higher than in the USA with only a 13% black population, proving that blacks in Bermuda outlive whites in the USA. This suggests that even though genetics can be an episodic factor it may not be as significant a factor as delivery of care and control, as Michael Porter was suggesting earlier. The deficiency in our care delivery system is underlined by the fact that we spend more than 25% more per capita on health care than Switzerland which spends even more than Bermuda, yet both Switzerland and Bermuda beat us on statistical outcomes of health care. It’s not genetics!


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