September 21

21st Century Living

Friday’s Big Idea

Today's Big Idea: Confirmation Bias

How can we look at compelling evidence that is right in front of us and draw conclusions that directly contradict that evidence? 

It is easy to spot this confirmation bias in other people, particularly those you disagree with. And yet, it is harder to recognize how we all possess this bias. An insight from the filmmaker Errol Morris helps explain why. 

When we confront a situation -- especially if it is something as traumatic as a murder scene -- our minds develop a narrative to make sense of what happened. After this "theory" of what happened is firmly entrenched in our minds, we become blind to evidence that might not fit this theory. 

It is therefore important to know how our minds censor information in order to know how susceptible we all are to untruth. So how do we avoid it?

  1. 1 Errol Morris: Disbelieving is Seeing
  2. 2 Max Bazerman: Blind Spots, Bernie...
  3. 3 Thinking, Fast and Slow...About S...
  4. 4 Evidence is More Important Than O...
   
  1. Errol Morris: Disbelieving is Seeing

    Errol Morris: Disbelieving is Seeing

    "We see on the basis of what we believe, not the other way around," Errol Morris told Big Think in a recent interview. In other words, our relationship to the truth is never neutral nor "value-free."   

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  2. Max Bazerman: Blind Spots, Bernie Madoff's and Ours

    Max Bazerman: Blind Spots, Bernie Madoff's and Ours

    In this video, Max Bazerman avoids an examination of Bernie Madoff’s ethics--which is best discussed elsewhere--in order to focus instead on the managers of feeder funds that aided Madoff.

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  3. Thinking, Fast and Slow...About Staying Alive. What Kahneman's Classic DOESN'T Include.

    Thinking, Fast and Slow...About Staying Alive. What Kahneman's Classic DOESN'T Include.

    Many of the cognitive tools (heuristics and biases) that we use for all sorts of decision-making also influence our choices about risk.

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  4. Evidence is More Important Than Outrage: An Introduction

    Evidence is More Important Than Outrage: An Introduction

    What happens when scientific investigation gives us a conclusion we do not like? Do we load our guns of conformity, light the canons of outrage, and march on?

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