Big%20think%20%23001 Evidence is More Important Than Outrage: An Introduction

What happens when scientific investigation gives us a conclusion we do not like, for example: prayer does not physically heal anyone (or else makes things worse for the patient being prayed for), homeopathy’s only effect is to pay a charlatan, and “Mother” Earth is finding smarter ways to kill us? What happens when evidence conclusively shows that what we thought is precisely or almost the opposite of what is true? Do we load our guns of conformity, light the canons of outrage, and march on?

Despite our wishes, reality cannot be hidden by our desires or hopes but will reassert itself in the teeth of our aspirations: floods will drown, diseases will kill, people will oppress others. In order for us to deal most effectively with the world, we ought to see the world as it really is: naked and screaming, not silenced and dressed in our dreams. If we don’t measure when the next flood will hit, don’t use effective and tested treatments against diseases, don’t act against violence, we will continue to be prisoners, instead of actors, of our expectations. We therefore must tackle ideas head-on, clearly and without preconceptions, in order to deal most effectively with them – no matter how taboo the subject or conclusions of our inquiry. This is the very nature of scientific investigation.

We ought, therefore, to follow conclusions and evidence wherever they lead, trampling offence and outrage in the process - since learning how the world operates, to do good for others, is more important than mere outrage. As the history of women, gay and racial equality teaches us, for example, the ideas which could end up helping the most people could very well be the ones dismissed as offensive, outrageous or anathema. When, in 1847, physician Ignaz Semmelweis suggested hand-washing for his colleagues, he was met with scorn, since his colleagues refused to believe they were responsible for killing their patients.

Ideas should not be dismissed because they are outrageous but because they lack coherence, evidence or argumentative power, like homeopathy’s or prayer’s medical benefits. Having a clearer picture of the world means engaging with ideas that one finds offensive. And the most effective way to do this is with science. Before rushing in with rather boring philosophical charges of epistemology and so on, I equate the conclusions of science with the nature of reality. Whatever label you wish to give me is irrelevant to the fact that we’ve almost eradicated smallpox, that leaping off a skyscraper consistently results in death, and that withholding air results in unconsciousness. Science is not merely “lab-coat” science, with attractive young people in lab-coats poking at petri dishes. “Science” or “scientific investigation” is a way of approaching the world; one that encourages us to look at many arguments, be self-critical as well as cognisant of evidence, and be willing – despite our own interests – to accept the conclusions reached, with all arguments and evidence at hand. We “do” science when we recognise blankets warm us better than ice-buckets, for example.  

The measures of rigid scientific investigation (both of the lab-coat and broad approach I’m describing) are merely applied, consistent common-sense, with the blinkers of personal investment and predispositions removed - indeed the absence of these cognitive biases, according to Maria Konnikova, is exactly what makes the fictional Sherlock Holmes such a powerful thinker. Conclusions, then, are reached despite what we wish.

However, some might agree with Scott Lilienfield and call scientific thinking “uncommon” sense. Says Lilienfield:

[S]cience is “uncommon sense”… because it requires us to override our natural propensities toward confirmation bias (the tendency to seek out evidence consistent with our hypotheses and to deny, dismiss, or distort evidence that is not), naïve realism (the erroneous belief that the world is exactly as we see it), and allied biases. Without scientific thinking tools as safeguards against these errors, even educated people can be fooled.

We might wish, say, that the death penalty was an effective reducer of crime. Most of us, including myself, wish that alternative medicine worked. But, we cannot simply wish these to be true: we must analyse crime stats and the efficacy of alternative treatments. We use scientific investigation to confirm that the effects are brought about by suspected causes – and, furthermore, if we can bring about the effects through implementing those suspected causes. In this structure, what we want to be true is irrelevant to what is true.

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About Against the New Taboo

29 Posts since 2012

How the world is often doesn’t correspond to how we wish it to be. In order for us to be most effective in engaging with it, we should try see the world as it really is, no matter how taboo the conclusions. 

Against the New Taboo attempts to untangle the mistakes, assumptions, biases and assertions that we all make, especially on moral and political subjects, such as: the ethics of killing, war, free expression, sex acts, drugs and prostitution. The blog will take a close, critical look at subjects or positions many of us consider immoral or taboo. Whether the views are right or wrong will depend on our critical assessment, not on how controversial or politically correct they seem.

There should be no taboo ideas, since the very ideas we fear the most may end up doing the most good for us. It is to that end, of thinking critically and doing the best we can for ourselves and others, that this blog hopes to contribute.

Twitter: @tauriqmoosa

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